TY - JOUR
T1 - Policy-mix to decarbonise transport
T2 - Emission Trading System and subsidies on short-sea-shipping demand
AU - Martínez-Moya, Julián
AU - Feo-Valero, María
AU - Vega, Amaya
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Authors
PY - 2025/12
Y1 - 2025/12
N2 - The introduction of the Emission Trading System (ETS) to the European port and maritime industry has raised concerns about its effects on intra-European modal traffic patterns. Higher costs for short-sea shipping (SSS) could prompt a shift back to road transport for shipments that previously relied on maritime routes. This paper examines the potential effects of the EU ETS on SSS demand along the Spain–northern Italy corridor, using stated preference data and advanced discrete choice models (MDCEV). In this corridor, the coexistence of climate policies (EU ETS) and transport measures (Eco-incentive)—which have conflicting effects on the price competitiveness of SSS—makes the assessment of their combined impact particularly relevant. The findings suggest that full implementation of the EU ETS could lead to a diversion of up to 25 % of maritime traffic to road transport. However, the presence of the Eco-incentive could help mitigate this shift.
AB - The introduction of the Emission Trading System (ETS) to the European port and maritime industry has raised concerns about its effects on intra-European modal traffic patterns. Higher costs for short-sea shipping (SSS) could prompt a shift back to road transport for shipments that previously relied on maritime routes. This paper examines the potential effects of the EU ETS on SSS demand along the Spain–northern Italy corridor, using stated preference data and advanced discrete choice models (MDCEV). In this corridor, the coexistence of climate policies (EU ETS) and transport measures (Eco-incentive)—which have conflicting effects on the price competitiveness of SSS—makes the assessment of their combined impact particularly relevant. The findings suggest that full implementation of the EU ETS could lead to a diversion of up to 25 % of maritime traffic to road transport. However, the presence of the Eco-incentive could help mitigate this shift.
KW - Demand subsidies
KW - Emission Trading System
KW - Freight decarbonisation
KW - MDCEV
KW - Road transport operators
KW - Short Sea Shipping Ro-Ro
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105018176468
U2 - 10.1016/j.trd.2025.105042
DO - 10.1016/j.trd.2025.105042
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105018176468
SN - 1361-9209
VL - 149
JO - Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
JF - Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
M1 - 105042
ER -
